Funded Research Projects: FOREST ECOLOGY

Improving Estimates of Future Fires, Fire Emissions, and Smoke

Research Sponsored By: US Forest Service
Principal Investigator: Ernesto Alvarado
Project Description
This research will advance climate, fire, and smoke science in support of building a better understanding of how fire are smoke emissions are affected by and affects the atmosphere, including weather and climate, and how this knowledge can be used to develop scenarios and tools to better inform land managers. The joint research will generate, develop, apply and transfer science-based information, strategies and tools for fire and smoke emissions management in public, tribal lands, and communities under current and future land management scenarios.

Specific objectives for this research are:

• To develop a model based on statistic of extreme events of very large fire occurrence on the landscape based on high- resolution fuel, topographic, and weather data that can be used to forecast future risk of large fire occurrence and effects on air quality. The model will be based fire occurrence for the last 30 decades in the United States.

• To study smoke impacts on air quality from future very large wildland fire conflagrations, including both emissions of regulated air pollutants and greenhouse gases, and impacts on large populations centers and small communities.

• To collaborate on research to improve existing wildland fire modeling capabilities for fuel consumption, emissions, and smoke impacts, for example as developed in the BlueSky Smoke Modeling Framework.